And then there are some players that can have great seasons in ways that statistics do not cover well. The ratings are just very slightly lower in the relevant offensive categories, which could be chalked to the difference in competition levels.īut pretty much any player can have a great season. His long passes have suffered, which can also be a matter of tactical instruction, but the rest still looks very similar to what he offered in Japan. I have replaced the first entry with his current season:
So, let’s look at his performance in 2nd Bundesliga this season. And despite all the differences in environment, those among others had established an image of Japanese players as being very driven, professional, reliable and disciplined, with actually little to no difficulties in settling into their new environment. 2016 was not a fluke.Īnd while coming to Europe from Japan requires coping with a big change in location, culture and language, we had a bunch of Japanese players kicking around in the Bundesliga, like Kagawa, Hasebe und Kiyotake already. There is some variation to his profile, but it still clearly is a profile: A characteristic set of strong areas and lesser-developed ones. This looked like an application to be played slightly higher up the pitch, which is there idea to place him in defensive midfield came from.īut, what if this was just a fluke? Perhaps one good season amidst a sea of mediocrity or failure? Good thing we can look at his development across different, subsequent seasons.įour seasons at a glance. So, dependable rather than spectacular in defense, with good offensive output in structuring play. He was very solid in defence, without any clear points of failure, and offered very constructive passing play, in build-up and into valuable offensive positions, with short and long passes. The profile he offered at the end of the season then was very interesting. Back then we had Scoutpanel up and running for our first season, with the proprietary metrics we have been developing since 2013.Īt that time he had just transferred from Shonan Bellmare to Urawa Red Diamonds and had gotten his first matches in, and delivered at a very convincing level for a 23-year-old player. That was an e-mail I sent to Sven (Mislintat, now Sporting Director of VfB Stuttgart) more than four years ago, in May 2016. Translation: “Wataru Endo – For a centre-back (in Europe) slightly too short and the aerial prowess isn’t quite there, but the profile looks like a potentially interesting defensive midfielder.”
WATARU ENDO HOW TO
What does our data offer to inform your opinion of a player? How can you minimize risk? How to avoid mistakes?Īs an example, we are going to pick a player we have been tracking for many years now: Wataru Endo, who has just been picked in defensive midfield in the Top-11 of the 2nd Bundesliga 2019/20 by Kicker. While we do explore some of the options in projection with machine-learning-based approaches, we are going to focus on our data here as it matters to subjective evaluation. Secondly, there is the data this process is based on.
This could be an experienced subjective opinion, a mathematical projection, or a mixture of both. So how can we help in this challenge?īasically, there are two parts to this: First, your prediction process. But, prediction is actually the challenge in scouting and recruitment, isn’t it? You don’t only want to know how well someone has done somewhere, but how well (or not) he would do at your club next year if you signed him. It is common to say that hindsight is 20/20, which basically means it is easy to judge or evaluate something that has happened, where you can see things as they are, as opposed to how difficult it is to predict something. 0 Shares What If Foresight Were 20/20? Finding Wataru Endo in 2016
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